Sunday, December 22, 2024

As it diversifies, Qualcomm can keep growing without Apple, analysts say

Investors used to believe Qualcomm Inc.’s (QCOM.O) fortunes were linked to Apple Inc.’s (AAPL.O) iPhone, which utilizes a Qualcomm “modem” chip to connect to mobile data networks.

Analysts said a looming loss of Apple, which is working on its own chips to replace Qualcomm’s, might not matter much to Qualcomm’s profits as it prepares for an investor presentation on Tuesday where it will outline plans to land its chips in everything from virtual reality headsets to self-driving cars to telecommunications gear.

“Frankly, revenues are getting to the point where the worry over Apple possibly moving away is much smaller,” Bernstein analyst Stacy Ragson wrote in a note.

The change comes from a diversification strategy put in place years ago by Cristiano Amon, who ran the company’s chip division before becoming chief executive this year.”Anything beyond our contract with (Apple) is an upside to our model,” Amon said during an earnings call on Nov. 3. “They have a large number of devices. And if there are opportunities, we’ll be very happy to engage with them on supply.”

But Angelo Zino of CFRA Research said Apple likely will leave in phases, introducing internal chips only for one or two devices initially.

And in the meantime, Qualcomm has gained market share among Android phones because Qualcomm customers are filling the vacuum left from Huawei’s exit from the smartphone market. Brands such as China’s Honor are turning to the U.S. chip firm for supply.

“Qualcomm’s China handset (revenue) is growing faster than Apple is growing, which is helping to offset any Apple reductions,” Patrick Moorhead, founder of Moor Insights & Strategy said.

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